SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
35.67% ( 0.2) | 27.63% ( 0.26) | 36.7% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.99) | 56.85% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% ( -0.8) | 77.77% ( 0.8) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.37) | 30.37% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.44) | 66.56% ( 0.44) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( -0.76) | 29.73% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( -0.93) | 65.79% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.67% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.7% |
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