SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Inter Turku had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Inter Turku win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Honka in this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
44.72% ( -0.02) | 25.68% ( 0.12) | 29.6% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( -0.54) | 50.54% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( -0.48) | 72.46% ( 0.48) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.24) | 22.55% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( -0.36) | 56.13% ( 0.36) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( -0.35) | 31.27% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( -0.41) | 67.62% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.72% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.6% |
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