SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | -8 | 20 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 18 | -7 | 18 |
| 11 | Lahti | 19 | -21 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Vaasan Palloseura | 19 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | -8 | 20 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 18 | -7 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
43.44% ( -0.09) | 25.33% ( 0.15) | 31.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.63% ( -0.67) | 48.37% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.49% ( -0.61) | 70.51% ( 0.61) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.32) | 22.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.36% ( -0.49) | 55.64% ( 0.49) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( -0.37) | 29.04% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% ( -0.46) | 64.94% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.22% |
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