SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Honka | 18 | 23 | 37 |
| 2 | KuPS | 17 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 18 | 10 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Ilves | 18 | -8 | 20 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 17 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 | Lahti | 18 | -22 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
67.36% ( 0.03) | 19.15% ( -0.01) | 13.49% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.54% ( -0.02) | 42.46% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.14% ( -0.02) | 64.86% ( 0.02) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( 0) | 11.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.31% ( 0) | 36.68% ( -0.01) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.97% ( -0.04) | 43.02% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.69% ( -0.04) | 79.31% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7% 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 3.62% Total : 67.35% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.15% | 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.49% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
