SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Haka | 19 | -5 | 28 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 19 | 8 | 25 |
| 8 | Ilves | 19 | -4 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Honka | 19 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | KuPS | 19 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 19 | 13 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | KuPS |
37.97% ( 0.38) | 26.63% ( -0.03) | 35.39% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 52.07% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.09) | 52.89% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( 0.07) | 74.5% ( -0.08) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.26) | 27.07% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( 0.34) | 62.45% ( -0.35) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( -0.18) | 28.59% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( -0.22) | 64.39% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | KuPS |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.97% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.4% |
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