SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | SJK | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 16 | 8 | 21 |
| 8 | Ilves | 16 | -1 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Oulu | 16 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | SJK | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 7 | Inter Turku | 16 | 8 | 21 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SJK had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest SJK win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Turku in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | SJK |
46.54% ( 0.11) | 26.11% ( -0.02) | 27.34% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.52% ( 0.01) | 53.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25% ( 0) | 75% ( -0.01) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.05% ( 0.05) | 22.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.27% ( 0.08) | 56.73% ( -0.08) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( -0.07) | 34.52% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.76% ( -0.08) | 71.24% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.34% |
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