Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
