SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Honka in this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Honka |
26.16% ( 0.05) | 24.69% ( 0.03) | 49.16% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( -0.07) | 48.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -0.07) | 70.64% ( 0.07) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% | 32.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( 0) | 69.4% ( 0) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.06) | 19.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.18% ( -0.1) | 51.82% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.16% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 49.15% |
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