SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
34.24% ( -0.04) | 25.93% ( -0.14) | 39.84% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.92% ( 0.59) | 50.09% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.52) | 72.06% ( -0.52) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.26) | 27.95% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.42% ( 0.33) | 63.58% ( -0.33) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.36) | 24.76% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( 0.5) | 59.33% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.84% |
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