SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
31.52% ( -0.96) | 25.66% ( -0.14) | 42.83% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.3) | 49.65% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.27) | 71.67% ( -0.26) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.49) | 29.48% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.6) | 65.49% ( 0.6) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% ( 0.67) | 23.06% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.1% ( 0.98) | 56.9% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Oulu |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.52% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 42.83% |
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