Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Oulu win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.