SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
44.11% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( 0.08) | 32.19% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.49% ( -0.45) | 40.5% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( -0.47) | 62.88% ( 0.47) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.16) | 18.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% ( -0.27) | 49.99% ( 0.27) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( -0.3) | 24.57% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.94% ( -0.43) | 59.06% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.11% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.69% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.19% |
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