SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.59%) and 1-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
54.66% ( -0.37) | 21.5% ( 0.11) | 23.84% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.36% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0.22) | 36.2% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.68% ( -0.24) | 58.32% ( 0.24) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( -0.18) | 13.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.83% ( -0.37) | 40.16% ( 0.37) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( 0.09) | 28.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( 0.11) | 63.71% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.9% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 23.84% |
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