SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
33.8% ( 0.29) | 24.52% ( -0.06) | 41.68% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( 0.34) | 43.89% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( 0.33) | 66.28% ( -0.33) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( 0.33) | 25.24% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( 0.45) | 60% ( -0.45) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.03) | 21.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46% ( 0.05) | 53.99% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.68% |
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