SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Lahti |
49.98% ( -0.22) | 23.23% ( 0.08) | 26.79% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.35% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.44% ( -0.26) | 41.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.04% ( -0.27) | 63.96% ( 0.27) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( -0.18) | 16.78% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% ( -0.32) | 46.73% ( 0.32) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.03) | 28.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.5% ( -0.04) | 64.49% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.48% Total : 26.79% |
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