SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
42.81% ( 1.28) | 24.64% ( -0.08) | 32.55% ( -1.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.04) | 44.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.04) | 67.17% ( -0.04) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( 0.61) | 21.01% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.22% ( 0.94) | 53.79% ( -0.94) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.7) | 26.44% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.94) | 61.61% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.81% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.55% |
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