SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Inter Turku |
34.54% ( 0.38) | 25.53% ( 0.04) | 39.92% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.12) | 48.33% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.11) | 70.47% ( 0.11) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.17) | 26.91% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.76% ( 0.23) | 62.24% ( -0.23) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.27) | 23.93% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( -0.39) | 58.15% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Inter Turku |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.54% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 39.92% |
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