Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 36.39%. A win for Honka had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.
