Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
