SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Ilves | 21 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 21 | 15 | 46 |
| 2 | KuPS | 21 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Honka | 21 | 25 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
31.74% ( 0.01) | 24.38% ( -0) | 43.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.68% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 0.01) | 43.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% ( 0.01) | 66.3% ( -0.01) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.01) | 26.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( 0.01) | 61.7% ( -0.01) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( 0) | 20.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.56% ( 0) | 52.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | KuPS |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.71% 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 8.56% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.23% 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.93% Total : 43.87% |
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