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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
43.18% ( 0.07) | 25.95% ( 0.18) | 30.86% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.83) | 51.13% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.02% ( -0.73) | 72.98% ( 0.72) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( -0.33) | 23.53% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.42% ( -0.47) | 57.58% ( 0.47) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.59) | 30.68% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( -0.7) | 66.93% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.86% |
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