SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
40.67% ( 0.09) | 25.33% ( -0.02) | 34% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.05) | 47.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( 0.05) | 69.75% ( -0.05) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( 0.07) | 23.21% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( 0.1) | 57.1% ( -0.1) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.02) | 26.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.82% ( -0.03) | 62.18% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 34% |
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