Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.
Result | ||
Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
43.59% (![]() | 25.86% (![]() | 30.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.11% (![]() | 50.89% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.23% (![]() | 72.77% (![]() |
Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% (![]() | 23.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% (![]() | 57.14% (![]() |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% (![]() | 30.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.96% (![]() | 67.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 10.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.59% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.43% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.55% |
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