SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Vaasan Palloseura win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
44.33% ( -0.07) | 28.45% ( 0.04) | 27.22% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.09) | 61.85% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( -0.07) | 81.63% ( 0.07) |
| KuPS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.17% ( -0.08) | 27.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.58% ( -0.1) | 63.42% ( 0.11) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.02) | 39.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.02) | 75.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| KuPS | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 44.32% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.44% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 27.22% |
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