SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Honka had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vaasan Palloseura in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Honka |
42.49% ( 0.16) | 25.83% ( 0) | 31.68% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.06) | 50.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( -0.06) | 72.27% ( 0.05) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.06) | 23.52% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.08) | 57.57% ( -0.08) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( -0.14) | 29.71% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( -0.17) | 65.77% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vaasan Palloseura | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 42.48% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.68% |
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