Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Honka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
46.3% ( 0.43) | 26.54% ( -0.13) | 27.16% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 49.07% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% ( 0.32) | 55.21% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% ( 0.26) | 76.44% ( -0.26) |
Honka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( 0.34) | 23.81% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% ( 0.49) | 57.98% ( -0.49) |
Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.4% ( -0.07) | 35.6% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.63% ( -0.07) | 72.37% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Honka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 27.16% |
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