SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
37.19% ( -0.55) | 26.6% ( -0.04) | 36.2% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( 0.19) | 52.73% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.63% ( 0.16) | 74.36% ( -0.17) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.23) | 27.45% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.06% ( -0.3) | 62.93% ( 0.29) |
| Vaasan Palloseura Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( 0.44) | 28.03% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.32% ( 0.57) | 63.68% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Vaasan Palloseura |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.19% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 36.2% |
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