SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
27.8% ( -0.02) | 26.26% ( 0.02) | 45.94% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% ( -0.11) | 53.78% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% ( -0.09) | 75.26% ( 0.08) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.67% ( -0.07) | 34.32% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.97% ( -0.08) | 71.03% ( 0.07) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.05) | 23.36% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.07) | 57.33% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | SJK |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.59% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.8% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 45.94% |
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