SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 36.73%. A win for SJK had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SJK | Draw | Honka |
36.41% ( -3.91) | 26.85% ( -0.35) | 36.73% ( 4.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.39% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( 1.84) | 53.77% ( -1.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.75% ( 1.53) | 75.25% ( -1.53) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.37) | 28.41% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( -1.76) | 64.16% ( 1.76) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( 3.63) | 28.21% ( -3.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( 4.37) | 63.92% ( -4.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| SJK | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -1.18) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.4)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -1.02)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.55)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.4% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.59)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.7)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.78)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.59)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.56)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.73% |
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