Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.
