Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sydney FC in this match.
