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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
47.85% ( 1.41) | 23.08% ( -0.32) | 29.07% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.75% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( 0.87) | 39.21% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( 0.9) | 61.54% ( -0.9) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.87) | 16.68% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.44% ( 1.54) | 46.56% ( -1.54) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0.27) | 25.88% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.37) | 60.86% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.1)Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.85% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.07% |
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