SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
55.7% ( -0.04) | 22.19% ( 0.01) | 22.1% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.5% ( 0) | 41.5% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.1% ( 0) | 63.9% ( -0) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.22% ( -0.01) | 14.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.96% ( -0.02) | 43.04% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( 0.03) | 32.46% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.01% ( 0.04) | 68.98% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 55.7% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.1% |
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