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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
63.18% ( -0.1) | 20.57% ( 0) | 16.25% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.52% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% ( 0.18) | 43.1% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% ( 0.18) | 65.5% ( -0.18) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( 0.03) | 13.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( 0.06) | 39.54% ( -0.06) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( 0.23) | 39.62% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( 0.22) | 76.3% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 63.18% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.57% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 16.25% |
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