SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
45.72% ( -0.86) | 25.13% ( 0.26) | 29.15% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( -0.77) | 48.47% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -0.71) | 70.6% ( 0.71) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.69) | 21.22% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.88% ( -1.09) | 54.12% ( 1.09) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.03) | 30.53% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( 0.04) | 66.75% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.72% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.15% |
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