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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
55.84% ( 1.16) | 21.85% ( -0.45) | 22.31% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 59.05% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.35% ( 1.28) | 39.65% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38% ( 1.31) | 62% ( -1.31) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( 0.81) | 14.11% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.25% ( 1.56) | 41.75% ( -1.56) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( 0.1) | 31.24% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.41% ( 0.11) | 67.59% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.31% |
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