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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
44.74% ( -1.7) | 22.81% ( -0.07) | 32.44% ( 1.77) |
| Both teams to score 64.72% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( 1.18) | 36.13% ( -1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( 1.29) | 58.24% ( -1.28) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( -0.18) | 16.67% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.46% ( -0.33) | 46.54% ( 0.33) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.66% ( 1.6) | 22.33% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.18% ( 2.34) | 55.82% ( -2.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.14)Other @ 4.43% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.33% Total : 32.44% |
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