SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
38.99% ( -0.38) | 23.54% ( -0.06) | 37.47% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 63.24% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.43% ( 0.3) | 38.57% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.13% ( 0.32) | 60.86% ( -0.32) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( -0.05) | 20.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.63% ( -0.08) | 52.37% ( 0.08) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.35) | 20.83% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( 0.55) | 53.51% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.47% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
