Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
52.83% ( -1.33) | 20.49% ( 0.3) | 26.68% ( 1.03) |
Both teams to score 69.47% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.69% ( -0.55) | 28.31% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.87% ( -0.68) | 49.13% ( 0.68) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.8% ( -0.53) | 11.2% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.28% ( -1.19) | 35.72% ( 1.19) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( 0.35) | 21.77% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( 0.54) | 54.96% ( -0.54) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.11) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.27% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.68% |
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