Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
53.76% (![]() | 22.17% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.23% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.87% (![]() | 39.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.54% (![]() | 61.45% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% (![]() | 14.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.31% (![]() | 42.69% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.53% (![]() | 29.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.52% (![]() | 65.48% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.28% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 10.11% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 24.07% |
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