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Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
WP

Victory
1 - 1
Wellington

Teague (14')
Geria (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
53.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.76% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)42.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.89% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.2%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 53.73%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.51%
    Draw 22.75%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.51%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Victory
Saturday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 29 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-1 Victory
Saturday, April 15 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, October 22 at 5am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-0 Wellington
Friday, May 5 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 29 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Wellington
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League


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