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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
32.39% ( -0.08) | 22.57% ( -0.01) | 45.03% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.62% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.05% ( 0.02) | 34.94% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.07% ( 0.02) | 56.92% ( -0.03) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.21% ( -0.03) | 21.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( -0.05) | 54.99% ( 0.05) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 0.04) | 16.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( 0.08) | 45.49% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.03% |
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