SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
35.06% ( 0.43) | 24.9% ( -0.3) | 40.04% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( 1.45) | 45.38% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( 1.37) | 67.72% ( -1.37) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.94) | 25.22% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.04% ( 1.27) | 59.96% ( -1.27) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 0.57) | 22.57% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( 0.84) | 56.17% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 40.04% |
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