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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.21% ( 1.11) | 23.81% ( 0.13) | 32.97% ( -1.25) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -1.02) | 40.79% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -1.05) | 63.18% ( 1.05) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( 0.06) | 19.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( 0.1) | 50.82% ( -0.1) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% ( -1.19) | 24.25% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.39% ( -1.71) | 58.61% ( 1.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.37)2-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.32% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.97% |
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