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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.86% ( 0.24) | 21.02% ( -0.13) | 21.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 60.27% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.73% ( 0.47) | 37.27% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.53% ( 0.51) | 59.48% ( -0.5) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.28% ( 0.22) | 12.72% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.06% ( 0.46) | 38.94% ( -0.46) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 0.17) | 30.95% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( 0.2) | 67.25% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.02% | 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 21.13% |
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