SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brisbane Roar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
41.71% ( -0.08) | 25.34% ( 0.04) | 32.95% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.15) | 47.82% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.14) | 70.01% ( 0.14) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.19% ( -0.1) | 22.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( -0.15) | 56.53% ( 0.15) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.05) | 27.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.8% ( -0.06) | 63.2% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.95% |
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