SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.84% ( -0.18) | 22% ( 0.03) | 25.16% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.01) | 37.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.55% ( 0.01) | 59.45% ( -0.01) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.76% ( -0.05) | 14.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58% ( -0.11) | 42% ( 0.11) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% ( 0.12) | 27.61% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% ( 0.15) | 63.14% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
