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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
41.8% ( -0.17) | 24.43% ( -0.12) | 33.77% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.53% ( 0.65) | 43.47% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.64) | 65.87% ( -0.63) |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( 0.2) | 20.91% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( 0.31) | 53.63% ( -0.3) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( 0.49) | 25.06% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( 0.67) | 59.74% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.8% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.77% |
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