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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
42.71% ( 0.11) | 25.31% ( 0.04) | 31.97% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( -0.25) | 48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( -0.23) | 70.17% ( 0.23) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% ( -0.05) | 22.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( -0.08) | 55.92% ( 0.08) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.22) | 28.36% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.28) | 64.1% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.72% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.97% |
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