SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.78% ( -0.68) | 23.95% ( -0.11) | 33.27% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.79) | 41.36% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.79) | 63.75% ( -0.79) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.03) | 19.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.05) | 51.51% ( -0.05) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.84) | 24.35% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.25% ( 1.18) | 58.75% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.27% |
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